Three days of above-normal temperatures.
Those are words that many in the Finger Lakes have been waiting for, and looking forward to after the recent cold snap, which lasted more than two weeks. FLX Weather Meteorologist Drew Montreuil says that it’s going to be an incredible active stretch of weather, filled with multiple storm systems, above-normal temperatures, and the possibility of various precipitations — complicating the forecast even more.
Here’s what we know:
– Temperatures will range from the low-40s to the low-50s over the next three days, steadily increasing as each passes. It won’t feel like mid-winter. Instead, with high-temperatures pushing the 50 degree mark on both Thursday and Friday, it will feel more like early-spring.
– Storm system #1, which comes during the overnight hours on Thursday will bring rain. Montreuil says that it could be heavy at times, too. Rainfall amounts will range between one-half and three-quarters of an inch, with some localized areas seeing closer to an inch. The primary concern with flooding will be with ice jams on rivers as waters rise and the ice breaks up, according to Montreuil.
– Storm system #2 will bring a strong cold front, which will send temperatures tumbling from the 50s down into the 20s by morning. Temperatures will continue to fall, and high temperatures will once again fail to get out of the teens by early next week.
– Montreuil says that the cold front will only be part of the equation, though. An even stronger low pressure system will take shape, and with the temperatures expected to fall with the passage of the cold front — ice and snowfall are big concerns. Montreuil says first a period of freezing rain, which could result in significant ice accumulations could take place. Then, a period of heavy snow. A mix of the two is possible, as is a mostly ice or mostly snow event.
– Read more from FLXWeather.com
Stay tuned to the FingerLakes1.com Weather Center for the latest on this developing weather story, and also be sure to check out FLXWeather.com for more local forecasts from Meteorologist Drew Montreuil.
LOCAL RADAR
POSTS FROM SOCIAL
Even though today is quiet, I have a lot to discuss coming up next including, milder weather, rain, a flood potential, & eventually an icy/snowy situation towards Friday night. Specifics hereβVIDEO & text forecast: https://t.co/bEXBUBCJYR pic.twitter.com/fTLODAu52J
— Peter Hall (@PeteWeatherBeat) January 10, 2018
Temperatures are on the rise in the #FingerLakes until a strong cold front brings the potential for trouble Friday night. Enjoy the #JanuaryThaw while it is here!
β https://t.co/RA1NF90y4Z#FLX #twithaca #ROC #NYwx #NoHypeWeather— Finger Lakes Weather (@FLX_Weather) January 10, 2018
A chilly start, but some sunshine for much of the morning. Clouds will increase through the afternoon. There will be a few showers by late afternoon. Highs in the lower 40s. pic.twitter.com/swE1mBOugn
— Marty Snyder 13WHAM (@MartySnyder13) January 10, 2018
Warmer weather over the next few days will bring an increased risk of ice jam flooding, especially for Western NY. Cold weather returns Friday night and Saturday with the potential for significant snow and ice. #nywx pic.twitter.com/2FIv74Y7wd
— NWS Buffalo (@NWSBUFFALO) January 10, 2018
Interesting to note that ECMWF converges towards GFS/CMC solutions which want to track system nearly up the spine or just east of the Appalachians. This is a very unusual track. More shifts and exact ice/snow/rain line and amounts to be determined.#NYwx https://t.co/p1qnU8Tkmm
— Peter Hall (@PeteWeatherBeat) January 10, 2018
While today should be quiet, we are watching numerous new weather systems which will cause lots of changes coming up. I've got lots of new important information about these next big changes always 1st at 4 AM on NBC3 Today in CNY. pic.twitter.com/3rokvR3zwW
— Peter Hall (@PeteWeatherBeat) January 10, 2018
My thoughts on Saturday's storm is that the Rochester area will likely transition to all #snow. Too early for me to throw numbers on this one but probably enough to shovel and plow around here. #roc pic.twitter.com/FBAl22hYXN
— πβπππ βπΌππππ (@scotthetsko) January 10, 2018