New York’s population has dropped three years in a row, and if that pace continues, the state could lose significant clout in Congress.
New York might lose as many as two congressional seats in the next reapportionment in 2022, potentially dropping it from 27 members to 25 members.
In the mid-1950s, New York had a high of 45 members in the U.S. House.
“All the projection methods indicate New York will lose two congressional districts in 2020, but that second seat is actually very close to the margin,” according to a report Wednesday from Election Data Services Inc., a political consulting firm that studies redistricting.
New York had a population loss of 48,510 between July 2017 and July 2018, according to the U.S. Census Bureau.
The decline was the largest of any state in the nation and cemented the fact that New York will undoubtedly lose one House seat in 2022.
And Election Data Services said it could lose two, but it may be close.
The firm projected that whether or not New York loses the seat could come down to a population swing of about 20,000 people.